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Best Practices in Asset Manager Communications

18th June, 2014 · Tom Brakke, CFA · Leave a comment
Tom Brakke, CFA

“The numbers speak for themselves.”

What asset manager with great numbers hasn’t wanted to toss a pitch book down on the table, utter those words, and wait for questions (only to return to the phrase over and over again in response to them)?

There are a few who have adopted that strategy (Bernard Madoff, for one, and some take-it-or-leave-it hedge fund managers), but for the most part it doesn’t fly for firms trying to win new institutional clients, even when the numbers are outstanding.

Therefore, an asset management firm must have a good communications strategy (and stick to it) if it is to succeed over time. The best practices for doing so were the topic of a recent presentation to CFA Society Minnesota by Judith McKinney and Gordon Dickinson of Callan Associates.

The presenters stressed the importance of a thorough communications strategy that is consistently applied. That’s a challenge, given that individuals have different styles and portfolio managers would prefer to be back at their desks evaluating ideas rather than answering questions about how they do what they do.

Large firms can marshal the brute force of their resources to hone such a strategy and to produce outstanding materials, but their presentations can lack the personality and display of camaraderie that are second nature for those at a small firm that are used to working closely together.

Each element of the communications chain needs attention, including requests for proposals, presentations for new business (and for review meetings), newsletters, white papers, websites, meetings with consultants, and whatever other opportunities exist to reinforce a firm’s message.

Through it all, there needs to be an ethos of quality, accuracy, integrity, and honesty. Superior materials and presentations provide a platform from which to convey the key messages that the manager wants to deliver.

The dynamics of a presentation for new business are critically important. The pitch book (whether in hard copy or on a screen) can be an effective vehicle through which the proper message is conveyed or a framework for failure, so the speakers from Callan spent a good deal of time reviewing its construction and delivery.

They said that “95% of the decks are pretty good” in following the four Ps – philosophy, people, process, and performance. A common problem is getting “bogged down in too many details” rather than concentrating on delivering a compelling narrative; they stress that “the appendix is your best friend.” Put the minutiae there.

In fact, “the best presenters don’t use the book very much.” They make eye contact, they connect with the audience, and they tell their story.

The flow of a presentation probably seems unimportant in the scheme of things, but several times the speakers from Callan talked about the quality of the transitions from one member of a presenting team to another. The little things matter, which is why practice is critical and thorough preparation often separates the managers that “show well” from those that don’t.

The most spirited interaction between members of the audience and the presenters from Callan revolved around the degree to which consulting firms are pro-cyclical in their approach to the recommendation of strategies and the selection of managers – going with recent winners rather than seeking out good managers who have been struggling. The discussion was prompted by a statement in the presentation deck that when meeting with consultants, managers should “focus on an investment product/strategy that is doing well; underperforming strategies may be non-actionable for the consultant.”

So, the numbers may not speak for themselves completely, but they speak very, very loudly. In the mutual fund world, “a five-star rating is the trigger for acceptance” (even though it is based upon past performance) and for an institutional mandate, “if you’re in the finals you don’t even have to talk about performance; you wouldn’t be there without performance.”

Therefore, the biggest hurdle to be jumped over in order to be hired is good performance. On the flip side, many good firms are fired because of a spot of poor performance. The representatives from Callan said that a big part of their job is trying to talk clients out of firing managers, but they stressed how behaviorally difficult it is for those clients – and for themselves – to go against the flow. They could cite just one situation where Callan recommended a firm that had subpar performance over the past few years but what they felt was the foundation for good performance going forward. (It turned out very well.)

The meeting featured much good information for asset managers looking to improve their communications practices – and I would not minimize the importance of the recommendations. But it is disheartening to be reminded that at its roots, this is a business of herding, and numbers, for the most part, speak louder than words, even if experience shows that they can be deceiving.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary, Local Charterholders | Tags: Asset Manager, Best Practices, Communications |

Super Mario

6th June, 2014 · CFAMNEB

Mario Draghi announced the ECB’s monetary policy actions on Thursday, June 5th, and on balance they were largely as anticipated. Without getting into too many details, the ECB launched a new series of “targeted longer-term refinancing operations”, began to set the stage for certain asset purchases, and lowered a variety of policy rates, including moving the deposit facility to -10 bps. We are not quite at QE in Europe, but they appeared to edge in that direction, and the ECB has made it clear that Deflation is a primary concern for the economy, even though it has returned to modest growth this year.

Credit markets reacted positively to this week’s data, including the ECB actions. Bank spreads seemed to be the biggest beneficiaries, with on-the-run banks tighter by 5-10 basis points. So far this month, we are seeing a complete reversal of last month, with higher rates, a steeper curve, and tighter spreads, especially on the long end. It was definitely risk-on in Europe – in addition to the ECB actions, Standard & Poor’s raised the credit ratings of a number of Spanish Banks, following a hike in Spain’s sovereign rating a week earlier. Rates in all of the peripheral countries in Europe have rallied like Luigi in a go-cart, and are trading at their lowest level in years. Spain and Italy, the two poster children for European chaos, saw rates drop by 20 basis points to 2.6% and 2.7%, respectively – just a hair above levels in the U.S.

The primary market did not wait around to see the data – as usual, the weekly calendar was front-end loaded, as few issuers wanted to take the risk of a bad outcome on the news front. Total supply was about $29 billion, which is a decent week. Large deals included Express Scripts, with $2.5 billion across three tranches, $2.4 billion of shorter paper from American Express, and $2 billion of an AT&T 30 year bond. Most deals are performing well, as most of the spread tightening this week took place on Thursday and Friday. The market is expecting more of the same next week – probably about $25 billion in supply.

There was a range of positive or at least benign data supporting credit markets this week, but we are inclined to attribute most of the rally to the ECB. At least for now, markets are expecting the announced policy measures to act like our own little Yoshi, gobbling up all the bad stuff – slow economic growth, deflation, weak banks – and turn them all into gold coins to toss back to Mario.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary, Weekly Credit Wrap | Tags: Weekly Credit Wrap |

Personality Crisis

2nd June, 2014 · John Boylan, CFA · Leave a comment

Not long ago I had lunch with a friend and we discussed the Myers Briggs test (click here for a definition of the test). He mentioned to me that that he read somewhere that a majority of financial analysts were INTJ—surprisingly one of the rarest of the Myers Briggs 16 personality types (especially among women). For the record I am an INTJ. If you have never taken the test, here’s a link to a free analog version.

While psychological analysis is not the purpose of this post, there is something that has always driven me nuts about this industry. What upsets me is that there is an expectation that a stock market analyst must act a certain way to be successful. This has always surprised me. That’s likely because INTJs like me are among the most independent thinkers of the personality types in the Myers Briggs grid. This might explain why I think “Kiss Alive” is the best live album ever, but I digress…

Why do I feel this way? I am guessing it’s because that New York is the capital of our industry. Don’t get me wrong. I love New York. The Yankees and Giants are my second favorite teams (sorry Boston fans). Having said that, I believe there seems to be some expectation of a hyper aggressive personality type that might not manifest itself in people west of the Alleghenies. I realize that there has to be some degree of fighter pilot attitude amongst us as analysts, after all no one wants to look unintelligent when discussing the markets with clients. But then at the same time, I feel on occasion that we all can use a dose of Minnesota Nice. Oftentimes our worst mistakes come when we make a mistake and try to cover it up with bravado.

One of the best lessons I ever learned in this industry was in my first week on the job. One of the stocks my analyst and I were covering had an unexpected bad quarter. After doing our analysis, my analyst called up one of the biggest holders and started out the conversation with (and I am paraphrasing) “I was wrong on this stock. Here’s where I went wrong, and here’s what I think you should do now.” I was stunned by what came next. Instead of the client becoming angry he said “Thanks for the call. You are the only analyst who has called me on this name. I appreciate that.” Ever since that day I have tried to fess up to bad calls. It not always has been pleasant; and not all investors were as respectful as this one. However, I also found that rebuilding my credibility was much easier than those times I have tried to defend my decision aggressively.

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Posted in Freezing Assets Shout Out, Hot Topic Commentary | Tags: freezing assets shout out, Myers Briggs, Personality Crisis |

A CFA Candidate’s Perspective

27th May, 2014 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

Each season CFA Society Minnesota invites finance students to learn about the CFA Program by interning with the local society. Students assist society committees with research for their projects, and are encouraged to take on tasks that broaden their skills and industry insight. Augsburg College senior Kyle Louzoun-Heisler will be sitting for Level I next year, and wrote this commentary with the assistance of Freezing Assets contributor Lissa Rurik, CFA. If you’d like to work one-on-one with a future CFA Candidate this season, please contact us to volunteer!

There seems to be a consensus in the literature of the major financial institutions that stocks, despite a five year bull, will continue to make small but positive gains. They seem to agree that low interest rates, low inflation, and an improving economy will continue to support increases in the stock market, albeit small. However, there are risks, including shifting geopolitical climate, the Federal Reserve, and asset bubbles that pose threats to stock market gains. Despite these concerns, the majority of firms recommend a Bull market strategy.

With the stronger stock market many firms suggest investing in stocks instead of bonds in 2014. However, there are strategies to navigate a rising interest environment. The recent climate has many financial firms predicting a higher treasury yield and a steeper yield curve. The Fed is central to this topic because there is reason to believe the fed funds rate will be increased in the future. BlackRock and Ascent are predicting a modest increase in rates to about 3.5%. However, this is largely based on the pace of tapering. And despite the recent fear over the fed raising tapering ahead of schedule, the meeting minutes show no such thing. Both Ascent and Columbia Asset Management recommend investing in shorter financial institutions debt, rather than utilities and industrials, citing a bank’s ability to pay lower interest on deposits and receive higher rates on loans.

In order to gain in a rising rate environment, BlackRock and US Bank are in favor of investing in munis and high yield bonds. Those in favor of high yield bonds cite the investment climate (with the Fed’s quantitative easing, economic improvement, and low default rates) and interest rate risk as the primary reasons to consider those options. Furthermore, as interest rates increase, high yield bonds can protect from that risk. Although last year high yield bonds offered the best return in 2013, BlackRock believes they will be closer to fair value.

In addition to high-yield bonds, BlackRock and US Bank favor municipal bonds as well. BlackRock mentions that March was one of the three best months for munis in 20 years. However, despite these ending, it still makes sense to look at these bonds because of their tax exemptions.

Although BlackRock mentions the Emerging Markets as a potential investment, Columbia asset management recommends it. Columbia believes that investors should stop playing duration defense. Furthermore, credit risk is preferred to duration risk. Like BlackRock, Columbia mentions the possible increase in the yield curve, but they believe that the curve has already taken most of it in. They say that if you want more of an investment-quality bond, corporate and munis make sense, but that if you have longer latitude it makes sense to look at the EM debt. Although EM debt did poorly last year, they believe it will perform better as those economies improve. Columbia believes global demand to increase and thus EM debt values to react favorably. Abbot Downing also believes that EM debt will improve as those markets grow and will be a good long-term investment.

BlackRock and Columbia are asset management firms.
Ascent is a private wealth management firm- subdivision of US bank.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary, Spotlight on MN Companies | Tags: Ascent, BlackRock, CFA Candidate |

Summertime

23rd May, 2014 · CFAMNEB

One of the greatest things about the bond market is early close. While our equity counterparts are slaving away until 4:00 ET today, SIFMA has recommended a pre-holiday close of 2:00 ET. There are fewer early closes than there used to be, but we still get to leave early to kick off the summer.

And the livin’ is easy…

You could barely work today in Credit even if you wanted to. Judging from the number of messages we’re getting, it feels like the street has already sneaked away to the Hamptons.

Fish are jumpin….

Supply this week reflected the anticipated exodus – there was about $20 billion in new issue, and the fish did most of their jumping on Monday and Tuesday. Concessions were a bit spotty, with some deals priced to go, and others, not so much. Secondary trading was again a mixed bag, with some weakness showing up in longer-dated bonds. The Enable Midstream deal was a case in point – this midstream gas company is a new issuer, and they brought $1.65 billion across three tranches. All looked to be well oversubscribed, but the 5 year has tightened 6 basis points in the secondary, while the 10s and 30s are a couple wider. It looked like the market was going to jump all over this deal, but ended up throwing some of the catch back.

And the cotton is high….

Spreads are still tight. Even though summer is barely upon us, it’s hard to imagine the cotton getting too much higher. Maybe investors should think about harvesting. There was very little movement in spreads overall, and excess returns month-to-date are slightly negative, driven entirely by the long end. As we doze off in the Adirondack chair, a cool beverage resting on its wide arm, it looks like credit spreads will be stable as far off into the horizon as the eye can see…

…so hush…

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary, Weekly Credit Wrap | Tags: summertime, Weekly Credit Wrap |
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