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Ask the Ethicist: Discussing Work at Home

24th October, 2014 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

I live with a significant other, and we are not engaged or married. We talk about our days at work openly. I strongly trust my significant other, but being in the securities industry I am terrified of inadvertent information leaks and others we know trading on the information. That person agreed verbally never to talk about my activities outside our home. I want to keep myself covered, but I also want to be open to my significant other about my life’s work. What can I do?


Dear terrified investment professional afraid to discuss work at home:

You raise some good points but have nothing to fear. You are smart and it is prudent to agree with your significant other that he should not discuss anything about your work with third parties. This understanding should also include not tipping or trading on any such information. You, like most people, naturally want to talk at home about what happens at work since we spend so much time at work. The need to share with our significant other often conflicts with employment and compliance policies that prohibit disclosure of proprietary information, and securities law and fiduciary duty restrictions that prohibit disclosure of work-related activities.

This issue got a lot of attention recently when the SEC Enforcement Division brought an insider trading case against Filip Szymik, whose roommate worked as an analyst at William Ackman’s Pershing Square Management. Szymik learned from his roommate that Ackman was going to make a public presentation on why Herbalife, a publicly traded company, is a ponzi scheme.  Szymik had told his roommate that he would not trade on the information. Despite the understanding, Szymik told a friend named Peixoto about the upcoming presentation. Peixoto bought put options that traded in the money when Herbalife stock tanked after Ackman’s presentation.  Peixoto made only about $47,000.  The SEC charged Szymik with insider trading for tipping material nonpublic information to Peixoto who traded on the information and made a profit.  This case demonstrates the risks of trading and tipping material nonpublic information, and shows that the SEC will bring cases even against relatively small players to deter misconduct.

You have nothing to worry about from the SEC if you do not disclose material nonpublic information that your significant other could trade on or tip to another who trades.  What constitutes material nonpublic information is often a difficult interpretative question. Because Ackman is a prominent activist investor and his views and positions will affect the market, his views on Herbalife were clearly material.  Materiality is usually defined as what a reasonable investor would deem to significantly alter the total mix of information available or what a reasonable investor would deem significant in making an investment decision given the total mix of information available.  The SEC has not defined materiality, it has been defined in court cases.  Usually, but not always you know if you have material nonpublic information.  If you learn about key events before they are public such as a merger, tender offer, earnings information, loss or acquisition of key contract or business relationship and the like, you probably have material nonpublic information.  If you are trading for a client that is acquiring or disposing of a large position, you probably have non-public information.

If you need to talk about your work at home, try to talk about work in a general way without revealing nonpublic information to avoid breaching duties to clients, violating employer’s policies or securities laws.

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Posted in Ask the Ethicist, Ethics | Tags: ask the ethicist, discussing work at home, SEC, securities |

Battle of the Fed Clichés

22nd October, 2014 · John Boylan, CFA · Leave a comment
John Boylan, CFA

If you grew up in the 1970s or 80s, you probably watched “Battle of the Network Stars”. For those of you too young to remember Howard Cosell and Telly Savalas, “Battle of the Network Stars” was a very successful limited run TV show that featured celebrities competing in athletic events. Nowadays it seems as though we are going through the “Battle of the Network Market Commentators Clichés” about the Fed’s potential next move.

It doesn’t matter if its TV or the financial press you can’t escape various Fed prognostications such as: The Fed will raise rates soon because unemployment data is reaching its threshold and might surpass it soon—remember what happened when the Fed tightened too early in 1937, or the Fed won’t raise rates because it is worried about the dollar and what is happening in Europe or China, and so on and so on. It gets to the point where I have heard the same arguments pro or con so many times, they do become clichés.

But still, interest rate moves deserve consideration. When it comes to the Fed and interest rate changes, I have two basic questions for myself at this particular moment in time:

1. Q) Do I think that the Fed will raise rates during my investment horizon (i.e. next 18 months)?

    A) Yes.

2. Q) Do I care?

    A) No.

Why? Rates can only do one of two things at this point in time, stay the same or go up. Eventually they will go up. A healthy percentage of market participants like me believe that. However, that forecast is already in my investment thesis and forecasts for the market. What is vastly more important to me is if interest rates are going to go up materially faster than I predict and will it happen during my investment horizon. There is nothing in the data that leads me to believe that it will. For example inflation is relatively tame, wages are stagnant at best, money velocity is nothing to write home about, and retail demand is just OK. Unless I was convinced that any of those things in combination above were to evolve into something more malignant during my investment horizon, there is no reason to drastically modify my investment thesis for the market.

What I try do to do in these scenarios is try to develop a list of potential market-moving events, like some of the things mentioned above like wage inflation, and monitor them for moves that go beyond my expectations. If enough of those things on my list change where my investment thesis is in danger of breaking regarding the Fed and interest rates, then I act. Until then, I don’t.

Therefore my suggestion is ignore the clichés about rates in the short term and pay more attention to matters that can cause events to materially change your investment thesis.

Oh yeah, one more thing. “Don’t fight the Fed”.

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Posted in Freezing Assets Shout Out, Hot Topic Commentary, Local Charterholders | Tags: fed, freezing assets shout out, interest rates |

Happy Birthday Freezing Assets!

17th October, 2014 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

Happy Birthday Freezing Assets!

Two years ago this month your CFA Society of Minnesota decided to embark on a project that would attract both the creative and analytical writing talents of CFA members in our region. Additionally we wanted a method of distributing important proprietary content generated from CFA Minnesota, such as the Compensation Survey and presentation summaries from local and guest speakers at CFA Minnesota events throughout the Upper Midwest. Eventually the fruits of this effort became FreezingAssets.org.bday

We recruited an Editorial Board, gathered volunteers to help generate content, and launched the site in early August of last year. The response we received both inside and outside our region for Freezing Assets vastly exceeded our expectations. As of mid-September, 2014 we received over 7,700 unique views with nearly 35% repeat visitors since our launch. This also includes over 12,000 page views and over 300 views internationally. Freezing Assets was also a part of a broader Excellence in Member Engagement nomination for the CFA Society of Minnesota at a recent CFA conference in London earlier this year. While we did not win, we were happy to receive recognition.

Therefore we would like to thank the CFA Minnesota Staff, the Freezing Assets Editorial Board, and our great contributors for a job well done.

But, of course, our greatest thanks goes to you the reader. We appreciate your support and readership over the past 15 months. We will strive to improve and broaden this blog as time progresses.

If you have any suggestions, or wish to contribute a posting yourself, please contact editor@freezingassets.org.

 

Thank you,

The CFA Society of Minnesota

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary |

What Would Gender Balance Mean to the Finance Industry?

16th October, 2014 · Lissa Rurik, CFA, CAIA · Leave a comment
Lissa Rurik, CFA, CAIA

Recently the U of MN’s Carlson School Funds Enterprise hosted a Conversation of Gender Balance in Finance. The two hour presentation hosted two speakers followed by a panel discussion with questions from the audience. The afternoon was inspired after a similar event focusing on Women in Entrepreneurship resulted in a significant increase in women contestants at the recently conducted Minnesota Cup. It is hoped that as a community we can encourage more women to consider careers in finance if we can shed some light on the topic through exploration and discussions such as this.

The Keynote speaker was Sharon McCollam, the Chief Administrative and Chief Financial Officer of Best Buy Co., Inc. Ms. McCollam sees the topic of women in leadership in finance as not only important for the growth of women in their careers, but also because such diversity is important to a company’s ultimate success, as it is valuable for different points of view in all aspects of a company’s activities.

Critically important is how women show up in the workplace. After starting out in the transportation and aviation industries, Ms. McCollam moved onto roles in consumer products, then food organizations. She spent five years outside of the U.S. running a mergers and acquisitions team, and recalled the day she was sent to Asia to negotiate a purchase transaction. Greeting the Asian businessmen at their first meeting she was asked “Why in the world did they send a woman?” Why? “Because we’re here to discuss the purchase price for your business” she responded. Then she simply moved on to the salient conversation. Women must present themselves with confidence, competence and calm.

At every level we must have a career plan. The career plan will change but we must be committed to the goal. Also, find mentors to evaluate those plans, and BE a mentor. Seek people at higher levels, not only for mentorship but also sponsorship! Do not confine yourself to other women – do not create your own glass ceiling! Think of how the next move will look on your resume.

Run into the fire – as this is where the big career moves are possible. This requires recognizing the risks. We need to lead change with courage and determination. We must be decisive and accountable. Women tend to have more difficulty with during times they aren’t popular. We must be resilient. Also leaders must have good judgment even when all the facts aren’t available. Use past experience and make the call! Men do this more easily. Wrong calls are always a part of the process but one must be courageous.

Have managerial courage, understand your personal code of ethics and be able to demonstrate good judgment. Your integrity will be challenged, and if the line gets too close that integrity will be irrecoverable. Hire great people – do not underhire, and do not be afraid to delegate. This is what allows a manager to go to the next level.

Lastly, love what you do! This is really important. Who do you work for? If your boss isn’t willing or able to help you grow, start planning the next move and adjust the career plan to change the outcome.

Next, Liz Mulligan-Ferry of Catalyst Research shared some facts to support the need for diversity and the progress that needs to be made in this area. Liz first highlighted the reasons diversity is important in the workplace: since women are responsible for 70% of purchase decisions, it makes sense for companies to reflect the marketplace; companies with women in leadership are seen as more ethical and philanthropic; diversity facilitates the ability to leverage top talent; and companies exhibiting diversity in the workplace experience increased innovation and improved financial returns. Barriers to advancement for women are encompassed in gender-based stereotypes, unconscious biases and a reliance on mentors to the exclusion of sponsors for moving ahead. Women are seen as less effective in conflict (either too timid or too abrasive, never just right). They’re viewed as competent or likable, but rarely both. And while mentors provide advice and help to navigate corporate politics, one really needs sponsors, with power and clout, to help a person fight and advance to the next level. Sponsors tend to be senior level executives where such relationships are important for facilitating the right developmental opportunities. Critical job experience includes international assignments, P&L responsibility and budget increases of 20% or more.

Strategies for Success:

  1. Learn the unwritten rules of your company (e.g., culture).
  2. Make your accomplishments known. Be visible and let people know what you can do.
  3. Build relationships. Get to know people and let them know you!
  4. Take career risks. (Interestingly, men will apply for a job when they meet about 60% of the qualifications whereas women typically wait until they meet 100%!)
  5. Ask for what you want. Be open if you don’t know what it is, but be ready to ask if you do.
  6. Get feedback for improvement (better gained from a mentor than a sponsor…)
  7. Be a catalyst!

The final segment of the afternoon entailed a panel discussion with Ms. McCollam, Matt Grimes (Wells Capital Management), Laura Moret (Chief Counsel of Piper Jaffray Asset Management), Kathy Rogers (EVP, Business Line Reporting and Planning, US Bancorp) Tammy Schuette (Corporate Controller at TCF Financial) and Mark Simenstad (VP of Fixed Income Funds at Thrivent Financial). While the panelists acknowledged that great progress has been made in this arena, Mr. Grimes and Simenstad indicated that women only account for 10 or 15% of the applicant pool in jobs where they have hired over the past several years. Additionally, women comprise only 15% of the membership of the CFA Society of Minnesota. Speculation as to the reasons for this low representation centered on women’s own misperceptions, around the hours required for the job among other issues. While questions from the audience – ranging from how to take risks to the importance of proactive negotiating, drew multiple opinions from the panel, all agreed that it is increasingly imperative for companies to find ways to be more inclusive in growing their employee bases. Demographics in the U.S. are really changing, and we need a workforce that resembles the customer base. It is a matter of community support, and it’s important for corporations to sponsor a mindset of openness and awareness as to what efforts toward diversity means. Inclusion means that people can be authentic; they can bring their whole selves to work, participate and feel good about themselves in the process.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary, Local Charterholders | Tags: finance industry, gender balance, Liz Mulligan-Ferry, Sharon McCollam, women in finance |

Ordering Off-Menu

14th October, 2014 · John Boylan, CFA · Leave a comment
John Boylan, CFA

I learned a lot from my first business dinner in the investment industry years ago. Number one, define your terms. Before we left our Director of Research told us we could only purchase one bottle of wine for the table. So the senior member of our team ordered a magnum. The second thing I learned is that ordering off the menu, if you know the wait staff, is a great thing to do. I had the best hash browns in my life as a result. Does investing off-menu, meaning off-index, investing offer the same tasty results?

Usually it does. Countless studies show that underfollowed and under-appreciated securities often outperform their more followed and “loved” rivals. At the same token with a nearly worldwide zero to very low interest rate policy going on as far as the eye also puts a premium on growth and/or yield—making momentum investing a viable strategy. Plus good portion of those momentum securities are in an index or an ETF because they exhibit those growth/yield characteristics—along with ample liquidity.

Therefore we can plausibly assume that as long as zero or abnormally low interest rate policy holds, and investors believe that policy will continue for the investing horizon that buying these securities on a dip is a good strategy. Indeed, the performance of momentum strategies during past few years has given credence to that notion. In addition one also can reasonably assume with the growth of index/ETF investing that as more money gravitates toward these securities, and as they grow in proportion in the index/ETF, that buying momentum stocks that are in one or both of those vehicles becomes self-perpetuating. At least as long as the investment thesis holds on those individual securities in the index/ETF—and as long as Mr. Market believes that the Fed Calvary will come to the rescue each time Mr. Market stubs his toe. Or as long as interest rates hold to a “manageable” level. How long will this continue? Your guess is as good as mine.

So where does that leave those securities that are not in an index or an ETF (or at least not in a highly liquid ETF) especially those that are not especially liquid compared to their peers at this point in time? Sometimes it feels as though that the psychological hurdle rate of those stocks has risen. Indeed, I find myself needing either some very strong and visible upcoming catalyst or some degree of beginning technical momentum to get myself interested in off-index and off-ETF names compared to a couple of years ago. This goes against my contrarian and mean-reversion heart.

Finally, I also believe that eventually the rules of supply and demand and valuation do take over and this index/ETF oriented strategy will eventually end—most likely in tears when everyone rushes for the exits at once. In the meantime will I continue to explore and add off-index/ETF names to my portfolios? Of course, as it is nearly impossible to beat the market consistently without these names, and no one wants to be a “closet indexer”. But as long as there is so much liquidity and demand towards index/ETF names the hurdle and discount rate I give to off index/ETF names will necessarily be higher than what I would normally, and would prefer to, apply.

Therefore, lets pop open a magnum and enjoy the low interest rates, liquidity and good times while it lasts.

_

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Posted in Freezing Assets Shout Out | Tags: ETF, freezing assets shout out, index/ETF, ordering off menu |
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