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Event Recap (part 2): Diversity & Inclusion: Bridging the Gap in the Investment Industry

16th July, 2019 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

By: Hilary Wiek, CFA, CAIA, Society Volunteer

In my last blog post, I provided an introduction to the excellent program CFA Society Minnesota had in June on Diversity and Inclusion. In this post, I’ll outline some of the key topic areas from the event, drawing upon talks by BlackRock’s Jonathan McBride, Wells Fargo’s Leyla Kassem, CFA, discussions at the tables and then shared with the room, and two panel discussions – one with women working in their organizations on diversity and inclusion issues and the other with women discussing their paths to the leadership positions they now hold. A third post will provide information about where one can read more about or do more to advance this important topic. So here are some thoughts on the topics discussed on June 5:

1.) To have productive conversations about diversity and inclusion:

Assume positive intent. Our speakers challenged us to have an important and uncomfortable conversation. You probably have noticed that you will allow some people to tease you quite mercilessly and you take no offense. Or if you do take offense, you find yourself excusing them because you know that they meant nothing by it. Yet if a stranger made the same joke, your reaction might be quite different. This is one indicator of unconscious biases that we all harbor.

When hoping to have a constructive conversation on the topic of diversity and inclusion, it is good to do what you can to be aware of your biases, realize that the other people have their own biases, and make an effort to act with the assumption that you both have positive intent, regardless of what comes out of your mouths. By doing this, hopefully everyone will give the benefit of the doubt when it comes to word choice and will truly hear the perspectives being expressed.

It is important to note that unconscious bias training will not eliminate biases. The hope is to mitigate biases and have people learn to hire or act around the biases.

2.) Hiring a diverse workforce in the investment industry:

One major problem to getting to a more diverse workforce: pipeline. Many people at the event mentioned that when trying to hire people for their open positions, the applicants were overwhelmingly white males. One leader had assumed that her company was just doing a poor job recruiting, that the diverse talent was out there, but she came to see that many women and people of color opt out of the business because of things they have heard about the lifestyle and culture or they do not even realize what investment roles entail when they are in the process of designing their educational path. The next blog post will list a few real-world programs working to solve the problem of attracting diverse individuals to the industry.

It was noted that the accounting world has been successful in recent decades in identifying potential talent when there is still time to get the proper training. The investment world needs to get to diverse individuals early on and share with them what skills, attitudes, and attributes are needed to be successful so that those who are attracted by those things will know what they need to do to be qualified for investment roles when the time comes.

While schooling is important to get your foot in the door, learning the investment business is very much done through apprenticeship. It is important that young diverse talent has access to the mentors who will guide them through the early years of their career and give them the opportunities to broaden their skill sets at appropriate intervals. Companies can create programs to ensure that unconscious bias does not lead to only a certain type of person being selected for such opportunities.

What’s the goal? 50/50 male/female? Numbers are arbitrary and it could take years, even decades, to get to that level at the current pace. But getting to inclusive is more immediately achievable. The goal is to create an environment where all cultures and backgrounds feel heard and want to stick around. It will be harder to get to 50/50 if your diverse staff keep leaving because they don’t feel welcome.

3.) To get the most benefit out of having a diverse workforce:

The problem: retention. Even if you are able to make diverse hires, you will not garner the benefits of diversity if you are not able to make everyone feel heard (the “inclusion” part of diversity and inclusion), as the struggle to fit into an unnatural mold will be exhausting for many. While people are struggling to conform, they will not feel comfortable providing their best ideas for fear of dismissive attitudes from colleagues. Eventually people will depart, leaving your team back at square one in trying to restock the talent pool. Many firms will see this as a learning moment and assume that people who bring in diverse perspectives are a bad fit and they decide to hire people more likely to stick around – which often means hiring people who look or think or act as the current employees already do.

The solution is to focus the company’s efforts on inclusion. This means getting to know everyone, learning to play to each person’s strengths and listening to their points of view. This may be challenging to some, but it has been proven (see the next blog for research citations) that the more difficult and uncomfortable investment discussions that come from heterogenous teams result in better team decisions. As one speaker said, unanimity feels like a good thing, but hard things should be hard.

One way to work on the inclusion problem is to get to know each other. We have been conditioned to not ask about others who are different at work, to “keep it professional”, but getting to know the people on your team allows for the evident differences to fade and the commonalities to shine through. It also allows people to open their minds to the differing perspectives and realize the value they bring to a conversation. Diverse teams must find ways to bring the diverse points of view out, or the effort will have been wasted.

In a crisis, all of the differences and negative intent assumptions matter less and people come together to get something done. And afterwards the team is stronger for it. As a company, you have to figure out how to get your staff there without a crisis. Managers who are willing to show vulnerability to employees by admitting that this is hard and they need help will get their staff to care. Be fallible. People like the underdog.

I typed pages and pages of notes from this event and there were other really great points made during the morning, but I have attempted to faithfully provide the major areas of discussion. Please feel free to comment on the CFA site, particularly with substantive efforts you have been involved with or are trying that are intended to make a difference in the diversity profile of our industry.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary | Tags: BlackRock, CFA Society Minnesota, CFAMN, charterholders, diverse workforce, Diversity and Inclusion, investment industry, pipeline, retention, unconscious biases, Wells Fargo |

Breaking up is hard to do – Global Central Banks Struggle with Normalization: Event Recap

8th April, 2019 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

By Eric Jacobs, Economics Student at the University of Minnesota

On Wednesday, April 3rd, the CFA Society of Minnesota had the privilege of hosting Marvin Loh, Senior Global Rates Strategist and Emily Weis, Emerging Market Strategist of State Street. Mr. Loh and Ms. Weis presented their ideas on central banks, global custodial flows, investor holdings, and more, in their presentation Breaking up is hard to do – Global Central Banks Struggle with Normalization.

They discussed how, for the first time since the crisis, central bank balance sheets are expected to shrink. However, in this new normal environment for central banks, balance sheets still remain historically high. The G4 bank balance sheet has increased 400% since the crisis. Of the major world banks, the Fed has made the biggest strides in reducing its balance sheet, while the ECB and BOJ still remain high. Yet, going forward, the Fed will begin to wind down its balance sheet selloff practice as they pivot more dovish. In 2021, Mr. Loh believes we will hit an inflexion point and the Fed will begin to expand their balance sheet again, to keep cash levels consistent with excess reserves.

What caused this shift? Market jitters can explain a lot. The volatility from the December 2018 selloff has not been seen since the crisis, and caution remains in the market as recessionary sentiment continues to grow. Also, some market charts may be signaling trouble. GDP growth begins to roll over after two years of gains, and global expectations are beginning to slow.

How did we get this environment? Trend productivity growth and wealth shifting help explain what we are seeing. Productivity has been continuing to fall among developed markets since the mid 1990’s, and when combined with declining aged population growth, this creates adverse effects on real GDP growth. The shift of wealth concentration can also help explain the new environment. In the current environment, labor income as a percent of gross domestic income is declining while corporate profits, as a percent of gross domestic income, rises. The lowest median household income earners are now seeing salary decrease annually. This leads to a decrease in developed market consumption growth. Given this effect, central banks are pushed to policy to replace income with temporary wealth effects, pushing assets into bubbles. Going forward, this leads to slow growth and longer business cycles. In the future, sector stagnation or stagflation may be the next challenge for central banks.

What are investors doing? In the emerging markets, investors are getting back into currencies, however we have yet to see flows back into EM stocks. In the equity market, most investor money is still sitting in domestic markets, and hasn’t made it back to emerging markets.

In fixed income markets, investors are still cautiously watching the yield curve. While inversions have predicted the last seven recessions, there is at least some reason to believe that this time could be different. In the last 7 inversions, 3m-10yr, 2y-10y, and 5y-30y spreads have all inverted before the recession. This has not happened yet, as only the 3m-10y has inverted. Additionally, in each of the last 7 inversions, the Fed continued to tighten the fed funds effective rate. The Fed is predicted not to tighten anymore, as they try to construct a soft landing. When State Street surveyed institutional investors on whether or not this inversion would lead to a recession, 33% didn’t see a recession, 33% saw one within 18 months, and the rest were mixed in the 3-12 month range. In short, institutional investors are still split on what this current inversion means.

Fixed income investors are buying U.S. treasury bonds across all maturities. From a holdings perspective, investors are holding the ends of the curve, possibly creating upside on the 3-7 year maturities. Emerging markets bonds are also seeing increased capital flows. In currencies, The US dollar is currently in a weaker position compared the DM currencies, but still remains one of the best risk hedges. The Euro remains on the low end of its average, but if Brexit goes relatively smoothly there is upside.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary | Tags: banks, central banks, CFA Society Minnesota, CFAMN, Emily Weis, Global Central Banks, Marvin Loh, State Street |

Event Recap: AI and Machine Learning in Investment Management

8th January, 2019 · Tom Crandall, CFA, CAIA · Leave a comment

Rick Roche, CAIA, of Little Harbor Advisors, entertained a full house as he presented an overview of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Investment Management Industry. The audience was diverse, ranging from industry veterans to a Senior in High School (I must admit that I wasn’t as forward-thinking at his age). For Mr. Roche this was a homecoming of sorts, having lived in Linden Hills for 22 years before moving to Boston last year.

Though Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning is complex and often begs to be gone through with fine detail Rick presented a view that was “a couple feet deep and a mile wide” – for the 43rd time in the last 13 months we were told. The hour ranged from 1) a history lesson of Machine Learning to 2) the fascinating amount of data and capabilities currently available and 3) some thought provoking views of the disruption that may (will?) be caused by the uprising of the machines and those who run them.

Mr. Roche parroted Gary Kasparov in his book “Deep Thinking”, where he reflected upon losing to IBM’s “Deep Blue”, blaming it on “Losing emotional control … and never getting it back” — for those in the investment industry this emotional control may strike close to home. That the Wealth Management industry is a laggard when it comes to the adoption of the advanced techniques (as reported by PricewaterhouseCoopers) is odd as it has two of the key ingredients necessary to foster the revolution, high margins and emotional participants. A quick poll of the audience seemed to support this idea that the industry lags behind as only about a quarter of those present had some exposure to machine learning with most of these having only done some light reading on the topic.

As a CFA charterholder, and someone who is not looking to be displaced by a robot in 10 years, some of the more riveting aspects of the presentation focused on the world around me, including:

  • Algorithms developed through Machine Learning techniques account for more than 98% of the trades happening on Wall Street and have sped up to the rate where 40,000 trades can now execute in the time it takes to blink our eyes.
  • By 2025, 163 Zettabytes of digital data will be available (roughly equivalent to the storage capacity of 635 billion of the top of the line iPhones) — to put this in comparison it is estimated that the totality of human speech in all of history would cover 42 Zettabytes (if digitized as 16 kHz 16-bit audio).
  • Algorithms have been developed to understand how much fuel is being transported based on reviewing satellite images to see how low tankers sit in the water.
  • The keywords of “Data Scientist” are bigger than “Quant Analyst” and “Fundamental Analyst” on Indeed by a factor of three, and growing
  • More than half of the people surveyed would consider becoming a client of Google, Apple, Facebook or Amazon if they were to offer wealth management services — and this number increases if you were to ask Millennials and those with over $20MM net worth.
  • Alibaba has the World’s Largest money market fund

In the words of the legendary investor, Paul Tudor Jones, “No man is better than a machine. And no machine is better than a human with a machine”. In the words of another legendary investor, BlackRock co-founder Robert Kapito, “Apple was not in music industry, Google was not in mobile phones, and Amazon was not in groceries — until they were”. Mr. Roche’s presentation highlighted the risks for those who are not willing or able to transform and inspired those who are willing and able to become, what he called, a Computerized Financial Analyst.

That we came together on Halloween and enjoyed a Thanksgiving feast may be a bit of a foreshadowing that blending two seemingly foreign concepts, humans and computers, can work if you sent apart your preconceptions and embrace it.

For those who were unable to come to the event, and for those who would like to see it a second time, please watch the video through the link below. For those who are interested in the topics of programming, machine learning, artificial intelligence, etc. please send an e-mail to the Society (events@cfamn.org).

View the session video here:
https://penxy.com/widget/?e=xelol

-Tom Crandall, CFA

Articles Referenced:

Asset Management Firms are Laggards in ML Adoption

Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change


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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary | Tags: AI, CAIA, CFA Society Minnesota, CFAMN, investment management, Machine Learning, Rich Roche, Tom Crandall |

Day in the Life of a Director of Research Event Recap

20th November, 2018 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

By Steven Rohrich, CFA, Associate Director, Performance Analytics, Pavilion Advisory Group Inc.

On November 16, a group of students and their professor, along with other business professionals had a chance to learn from  Josh Howard, CFA and Scott Opsal, CFA. Over the course of lunch, our speakers shared with us their backgrounds as Directors of Research, daily tasks, and important tips to become investment professionals.

Background

Josh Howard, CFA, Director of Investment Risk and Performance at RBC Global Asset Management, and past President of the CFA Society of MN, taught high school math before breaking into the investment field. Josh was always interested in AP Statistics and began his career as a quantitative analyst building models for risk and returns. Scott Opsal, CFA, Director of Research at The Leuthold Group, LLC, began his career working on the management side of funds typically held in pensions and 401(K)s. He also taught Security Analysis at UW Whitewater. Both are now working closely with quantitative funds. Scott focuses on tactical allocation, and Josh’s concentration is on factor investing and managing risk. Like their roles, the firms they work for are quite different as well. The Leuthold Group, LLC is an RIA with 25 employees, over 1 billion AUM focusing on sell side, and buy side mutual funds and SMAs. RBC GAM, headquartered in Toronto with the operations based in Minneapolis, employs 180+ in the US and has about CAD $370 billion AUM. When asked the question about finding a firm that is a good fit, Scott provided the insight of “find a firm that shares similar values and philosophy you have as it will be the best fit.”

Director of Research Tasks

There are many responsibilities that a Director of Research has, but our speakers were able to provide some of their main tasks and favorite aspects of each day.

  • Investment Process
    • Including, but not limited to, managing investment tools and resources, generating and screening for new investment ideas, and assisting with portfolio construction and allocation.
    • Facilitating information between analysts and Portfolio Managers and running attribution to determine where returns in the portfolio are coming from.
  • Team Management
    • Managing the relationship between Portfolio Managers and analysts.
    • Hiring the people that fit with the team and firms philosophy and training new staff.
    • Performing Human Resource functions.

As a Director of Research, there are numerous opportunities to improve processes, develop the next generation of professionals, and have an impact on investment performance and client results. However, this career also has its challenges and pressures for returns, time management, and determining what is a fad and what is a true innovation.

Things to Consider

Our speakers provided some guidance not only on how to become a Director of Research but to start a career in investments. A good candidate will have:

  • High ethical standards, intellectual curiosity, expertise in investment process and theory, and strong writing and communication skills.
  • Ability to teach oneself to use the tools used in the investment process.
  • Desire to read investment books.
  • Passion to find a firm that shares their same philosophy.

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary | Tags: CFA, CFA Society Minnesota, CFAMN, Day in the Life, Director of Research, DITL, Josh Howard, Leuthold Group, RBC, RBCGAM, Scott Opsal, Steven Rohrich |

Societies 2.0: CFA Institute Delivers More Than Just Exam Results

16th October, 2018 · CFAMNEB · Leave a comment

By: Tom Crandall, CFA, CAIA and Kate Lyons, CFA – CFA Society Minnesota Board Members

Intrigued? You should be!

Recently, the CFA Institute hosted delegates from societies around the globe to share details on the progress around their latest initiative, Societies 2.0.  Representing the CFA MN Society, Board Members Tom Crandall and Kate Lyons joined Executive Director Mark Salter in Vancouver to learn more about this initiative and how it will add value to our members.

As the name implies, Societies 2.0 is the Institute focusing on societies in a different way than the it has before.  Recognizing societies are experts in their own market and understand their members best, the Institute is looking to support the societies in all their different and unique initiatives by promoting the highest standards in ethics, education, and professional excellence.  In turn, this partnership will transform the society/institute relationship into a professional body rather than a group of test-passers.

We’ve outlined the three objectives that the Institute will focus on –

  • To develop future professionals through relevant and accessible credentialing programs, high

standards of entry and professionalism

  • To deliver member value that accelerates the professional success of our members and that

continues to develop educated, ethical members at the top of their profession

  • To build market integrity that benefits investors and our members that serve them

So what does this mean for you?

The CFA Institute has committed both financial and human capital resources in order to support the initiative.  A key element to the success of this initiative is to reduce the volunteer burden and increase operational consistencies at the society level. Beginning this year, the societies will begin to receive increased funding that can be used to reinvest in the society infrastructure.  Externally, the Institute is proactively advocating by engaging policy makers and regulators through leadership projects aimed at influencing perspectives. Actively engaging on industry shaping discussion such as Uniform Fiduciary Duty and capital markets issues such as fintech regulation, the Institute is finding a seat at the table and better able to represent societies and Charterholders as a whole.

The CFA Society of Minnesota is a society that is well known for our programs, innovation, and engaged members.  Sure, we already knew that but our strong midwestern sensibilities keep us from really acknowledging this fact, out loud (being transplants, we feel no uneasiness in highlighting!).  We believe that the society is in an excellent position to benefit from this new initiative and provide new value and better experiences for our members.

We are excited to explore what these new relationships mean to our local society and how we can leverage these additional resources from the Institute.  Should the Compensation Survey be a national effort?  How can we better engage with our Federal Reserve Bank?  What type of professional education/career development do our members want? Is there a way we can give back to our community? These are just some of the questions that can be considered and we are looking for your voice in the discussion.  Keep an eye out in coming weeks for additional information and a special request for your thoughts and interests!

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Posted in Hot Topic Commentary | Tags: CFA Institute, CFA Minnesota, CFA Society Minnesota, CFAMN, Kate Lyons, societies 2.0, Tom Crandall |
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